Democrats sleepwalking towards electoral disaster in 2022

Democrats have lost sight of how to build a large absent coalition Donald trumpDonald TrumpTrump tells former aide Navarro to “protect executive privilege” as part of the House’s COVID-19 investigation. The Jan. 6 panel could see the influence of Bannon’s prosecution. or a Trump-style enemy of the GOP. As a result, they could be on their way to suffering one of the largest midterm losses of any party in recent history.

President BidenJoe BidenRisch appalled by blockade by other GOP senators on Biden’s diplomatic choices Sunday shows preview: Boosters open to all American adults; House MPs push spending plan to Senate, White House calls for investigation into sexual assault allegations of missing Chinese tennis star MORE lost more public support during his first months in office than any other U.S. president since World War II, per Gallup.

Last week, Biden’s approval rating fell to a new low of 41% approval, 53% disapproval, according to a ABC News / Washington Post Poll. Republicans now also hold a 10-point lead in the generic Congressional vote – the largest ever lead for the GOP in the 40-year history of this question asked, including before the GOP waves in 2014, 2010 and 1994 .

Given the decisive shift towards Republicans in the Virginia, New Jersey and New York state elections earlier this month, it’s clear Americans are turning against a Democratic Party they say is become more attuned to the priorities of progressives and less focused on dealing with the concerns and frustrations of the entire American electorate.

The New York Times Editorial Board recently abstract the risks that the Democrats pose: “A national Democratic Party which speaks of progressive policies to the detriment of bipartite ideas, and which focuses on Donald Trump to the detriment of forward-looking ideas, risks becoming a marginal Democratic party n ‘attractive that Left. “

Indeed, 62% of registered voters believe the Democratic Party is out of touch with most Americans, according to the ABC News / Washington Post survey.

Since August, Democrats have been caught up in a party row over the size and scope of a massive legislative package made up of their social spending priorities, the “Build Better” plan, which the public knows without doubt more thanks to his billions of dollars. price in dollars as per its content. Republicans have worked – with some success – to portray the Democrats’ agenda as inflationary.

Ultimately, in their pursuit of the ‘transformational’ change offered by the Build Back Better plan – often without being able to articulate a clear vision of what this change really entails – Biden and the Democrats overlooked the realities overt policies at their peril.

Economic discontent is rampant, inflation is at its highest in 30 years, and gasoline and consumer goods prices are skyrocketing, which voters attribute to the policies of the Biden administration, fair or not. In addition, voters are worried about the crisis on the southern border and are reluctant to adopt radical climate policies.

Seven in ten voters say the economy is in bad shape, only 39% approve of Biden’s handling of the economy, and nearly half blame him for inflation, according to the ABC News / Washington Post poll. Sixty-one percent of voters believe the rise in gasoline prices is due to the policies of the Biden administration, according to a recent Harvard / Harris Poll, who also found that nearly nine in ten voters are concerned about inflation.

On immigration, only 35 percent of voters approve of the administration’s immigration policies; and a majority (54%) believe the Biden administration is creating an open border, rather than enforcing immigration laws in a more humane manner (46%) according to the Harvard / Harris poll. Regarding the climate, nearly six in ten voters think that maintaining energy independence is more important than reducing our carbon emissions if the two are in conflict.

An important note: Joe Biden won the 2020 election as a moderate who pledged to bring unity, normalcy and problem solving back to Washington. He did not win with a mandate to adopt a progressive – and arguably divisive – agenda. By the way, neither did the Congressional Democrats, who won the Senate by the narrowest possible margin and retained control of the House with a handful of seats. Notably, Democrats with a reduced ballot also underperformed overall in 2020.

The Democrats’ failure to recognize this was the driving force behind their bombing of the 2021 election and is set to be their downfall in the mid-term of next year. As might be expected, Democrats defending vulnerable areas of the House in 2022 are increasingly frustrated with Biden.

“Nobody elected him to be FDR, they elected him to be normal and stop the chaos,” Rep. Abigail SpanbergerAbigail Davis Spanberger Build Back Better is a 21st Century New Deal. (Va.), Which represents a district Biden won by a single point in 2020, following the Democrats’ loss in Virginia.

Biden invoked the legacy of former President Franklin Delano Roosevelt and hinted that this is the type of legacy he aspires to. Some Democrats have even drawn parallels between their Build Back Better program and FDR’s “New Deal”.

That being said, by the mid to late 1930s, when much of the New Deal was passed, Democrats controlled more than 300 House seats and as much as 76 seats in the Senate. Obviously this is not the case today – the Senate is split 50-50, with the Vice President Kamala harrisKamala HarrisEquilibrium / Sustainability – Presented by Southern Company – Climate Crisis Drives Child Marriage: Report Top House Democratic Group Launches Six-Figure Ad Campaign to Sell Defund Biden Infrastructure Package: The Only Way to Save America on a PLUS budget capable of casting decisive votes, and Democrats control the House with just five seats.

Going forward, Democrats must recognize that the broader American electorate, and in particular swing state voters “are not liberals, are not awake, and do not see the world the way people do. who work and donate to Democratic campaigns, ”as Ezra Klein does Noted after his interview with political scientist David Shor.

The party must find a way to unite on a moderate program that is more than a reaction to Donald Trump and Trumpism – one that focuses on controlling inflation and rising prices, reform and reform. Expanding fiscally responsible welfare, responsible fiscal policies, stronger borders and growing the economy for all.

If they can’t, Democrats will eventually sink into an electoral disaster in 2022.

Douglas E. Schoen is a political consultant who served as an advisor to President Clinton and the 2020 presidential campaign of Michael bloombergMichael Bloomberg Budowsky: 10 Million Should Walk DC, For Earth And Democracy Bloomberg Pledges To Spend $ 0 Million To Fight Fatal Drug Overdoses A New Approach To Fight The Opioid Epidemic In The United States MORE. He is the author of “The end of democracy? Russia and China on the rise and America on retreat. ”Zoe Young is a senior strategist at Schoen Cooperman Research.

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