Why Trump’s grip on the GOP is unmatched after the Capitol riot

After effectively ending his campaign fundraising in the wake of the Capitol Riot, Mr. Trump relaunched it on the day of his speech at the Conservative Political Action Conference. He raised nearly $ 3.5 million online that day, according to federal records – a one-day harvest that was not approached by any politician or GOP committee in the first half of 2021.

Money is as powerful a measure of its influence as its polls.

At the start of the summer, Mr. Trump on his own was almost equal to the entire Republican Party apparatus online. The RNC, along with the House and Senate campaign committees, raised $ 2.34 million online in the last five days of June. Mr. Trump’s committees raised $ 2.29 million.

The party continues to rely heavily on pro-Trump messages to motivate its supporters online. The RNC, meanwhile, has agreed to pay up to $ 1.6 million of Mr. Trump’s personal legal bills.

The events of January 6 were not without consequences for Mr. Trump. The former president had originally planned to hold a press conference on the anniversary, but abruptly withdrew on Tuesday on the advice of allies and advisers that he would turn against him.

And while Mr. Trump remains popular with Republicans, recent 2024 primary polls show potential vulnerability, even though he is now well ahead of the pack. As a sign of fatigue, even among his supporters, a notable share of Republicans say they would rather he did not run again, up to 40% in a Marquette Law School poll in November. This survey also showed that 73% of self-employed people prefer him not to show up.

Some Republicans, like Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who has regularly polled far behind Mr. Trump, have avoided saying whether they won’t run if Mr. Trump does.

Others, including Chris Christie, the former governor of New Jersey, said Mr. Trump’s decision would not affect theirs. Mr Christie, a former adviser who broke up with Mr Trump after Jan.6, has become one of the few prominent Republicans to push back on Mr Trump’s deceptions regarding the 2020 election.

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