The midterm elections are a challenge for the party that owns the White House. This means that the Democratic Party could have a lot to lose next year.
What will this mean for the entire Connecticut Democratic delegation?
“It could be quite devastating for the party,” said Gary Rose, professor of political science at the Sacré-Coeur. “All the polls currently line up with the Republicans and Joe Biden’s name, even though he’s not on the ticket, people today will still identify the president with the bigger party.
Rose says things are looking good for the Republican Party next year.
“In large part because of Biden’s approval ratings, Democrats are definitely in trouble. ”
President Biden enacted a trillion-dollar bipartisan infrastructure bill this week and Democrats are hoping to pass a climate and social spending bill that they say will help their electoral fortunes.
“It will be several years before people see the results of this infrastructure law,” says Rose. “Inflation is of course going to be a huge problem and I think immigration and exiting from Afghanistan is going to enter that race as well.”
It’s been a decade since a Republican was elected to represent Connecticut in Congress. Rose says former State Senator George Logan will be Republicans’ best asset to take a seat.
“I think Logan could be a very viable candidate in this race,” Rose said.
Hayes, Democrat and former National Teacher of the Year, is serving her second term.
“Jahana has done a phenomenal job, she cares about the people of this district,” said Connecticut Democratic Party President Nancy DiNardo.
Rose says he doesn’t see Congressman Jim Himes losing his seat in the 4th Congressional District or Joe Courntey losing his seat in the 2nd Congressional District.
“I can see that the 5th constituency is at stake in this election. Jahana Hayes however established a solid reputation there, ”says Rose.
“The Republican National Party has said it is putting as much emphasis as possible on this race,” said Jonathan Wharton, professor at Southern Connecticut State University.
Wharton says he also expects the gubernatorial race to be competitive this year.
“Republicans and Republican-leaning voters tend to show themselves off more than Democrats and it’s really going to come down to these unaffiliated voters, who are Democratic-lean,” Wharton said.